NATO in Rusija

Alternativna špekulacija o smrti Erovinkina je, da je komu kaj preveč obljubljal v zvezi z nedavno prodajo deleža v Rosneftu.
Meni se zdi bolj verjetna od prepevanja Steelu. Je pa timing tehle aretacij v zvezi z izdajo zelo zanimiv in daje določeno kredibilnost nečemu, kar bi dober PR sicer lahko odpisal kot navadne trače.

Pred časom je bila debata o možnosti nove izdaje pod Trumpom - kot je bila tista na Yalti. Evo, se že piše:

http://edition.cnn.com/2017/01/25/opini...

Belorusi imajo veliko vojaško vajo, samo da se tokrat ne pripravljajo na nevarnost z zahoda, temveč z vzhoda.

https://twitter.com/akihheikkinen/statu...



Odnos Belorusija-Rusija že dalj časa poka, macola je bil pa verjetno ta intervju z Rešetnikovom

www.uawire.org/news/a-russian-envoy-was...



Bomo videli, ni še krize, ampak trend je negativen.

Russia economy is equal to Germany. their GDP PPP is about the same. The non PPP GDP figures are completely wrong (hoax) for Russia because they're based in dollars and Russia is a net exporter budget surplus nation not budget deficit which means it doesn't deal with dollars and makes its own goods priced in Rubles thus GDP priced in dollars is irrelevant to Russia.

Moj oče je par dni nazaj sanjal, da pride Putin v Ljubljano in da je preprečil atentat nad njim.

Crazy.

Snowden bo mogoče FedEx-an v ZDA. Z mašnjico.

http://www.nbcnews.com/news/us-news/rus...

http://carnegieendowment.org/2017/02/09...

avtor

Steven L. Hall retired from the CIA in 2015 after thirty years of running and managing Russian operations.

priporočam v branje kot celoto, sicer

Intelligence Sharing With Russia: A Practitioner’s Perspective

...

Ministry of Interior and other Russian law enforcement entities, do not find the Western approach to intelligence sharing compelling; in fact, they find it quaint and perhaps a bit naive. For the Russians, information truly is raw power, and sharing it—even inside the Russian government—is viewed first and foremost through a political lens.

Senior Russian intelligence officers have expressed incredulity over the American model, where all-source analysis is conducted using information from across the intelligence community.

...

Russian intelligence officers, not known for their cultural sensitivity, have noted, half jokingly, that Americans make the mistake of thinking Russians operate in accordance with common Western values. The clear implication is that while Russians look European, they do not necessarily act European. “You don’t make this mistake with the Chinese,” one senior Russian intelligence officer once chuckled.

...

Given how the Russian government sees intelligence—as a power mechanism for internal political use as well as for informing Kremlin leaders—Russian politics also often complicates and in the end derails meaningful intelligence sharing. For years, the FBI has made good-faith efforts to cooperate with the Russian security services on law enforcement issues that presumably would be in both sides’ interest to pursue. Child pornography, organized crime, and cybercrime are good examples, and during the initial stages, joint investigations often go well. Both sides share information, delegations are sent to each others’ capitals, and experts and working-level officers collaborate. Often, however, after months and sometimes years of work, the Russian side will suddenly inform the Americans that the joint effort can no longer continue. The FBI is left with the strong sense that the investigation was getting too close to individuals or organizations in Russia with ties to the Russian government. When the Russians understand the direction of the investigation (and if a Russian government insider or other influential party is implicated), they can (and will) warn the Russian target. When the FBI, after a significant investment in time and resources, pushes the Russians, the response is often something akin to, “We will take care of it ourselves from here.”

...

Recall that for Putin, complicating U.S. initiatives serves a purpose—it projects Russia’s great power image, as well as Putin’s own image as a great leader.

And so while it is easy to exclaim, “Surely there must be some area on which Russia and the United States can agree and share intelligence,” as is often the case with Russia, it is much more complicated than that. Russia understands our Western, optimistic, hope-to-share approach, and will use it to what Putin views as his advantage, in a way the United States and the West would find mind-boggling. Especially with terrorist threat information, American intelligence agencies have an obligation to search out new ways to share—even with Russia—but the U.S. government also has an obligation to its citizens not to be naive in this endeavor. Doing so with Russia will result in the serious compromise of national security down the road.

vostok_1 je 11. feb 2017 ob 16:55 izjavil:

Trump je zame itak že odpisan. Snowden si zasluži bodisi opravičilo, bodisi simbolično kazen.

Vse ostalo zgolj pove, koliko je neka administracija pripravljena biti transparentna in v službi ljudi.
Hint...Trump niti malo. On bo kvečjemu samo še pohitril avtokracijo v katero hitijo/hitimo.

Kdo je omogočil Trumpa? Če bi šla takrat ameriška, in evropska politika v korak z zahtevami Evropejcev se Trump ne bi zgodil. Tudi brexit ne. Vsaki akciji sledi reakcija.

Trumpu je za ljudi vseeno in dela za kapital. Ampak je pravilno, da je prišel na oblast. Kot zgled vsem, ki bodo v prihodnje skušali delovati proti državljanom. Če je ne, je ne. Pa če na Afriko in Azijo padajo jedrske bombe, naša celina, naše zahteve, in če Evropejci rečemo da migracij ne želimo se to mora upoštevat. Če se to ne upošteva se zgodijo Trumpi in brexiti. Vse to je posledica neupoštvanja zahtev državljanov. Dam roko v ogenj, da bi EU bila še danes enotna, skupaj z VB, če bi se meje takrat zaprle.

xmetallic je 11. feb 2017 ob 17:10 izjavil:

vostok_1 je 11. feb 2017 ob 16:55 izjavil:

Trump je zame itak že odpisan. Snowden si zasluži bodisi opravičilo, bodisi simbolično kazen.

Vse ostalo zgolj pove, koliko je neka administracija pripravljena biti transparentna in v službi ljudi.
Hint...Trump niti malo. On bo kvečjemu samo še pohitril avtokracijo v katero hitijo/hitimo.

Kdo je omogočil Trumpa? Če bi šla takrat ameriška, in evropska politika v korak z zahtevami Evropejcev se Trump ne bi zgodil. Tudi brexit ne. Vsaki akciji sledi reakcija.

Trumpu je za ljudi vseeno in dela za kapital. Ampak je pravilno, da je prišel na oblast. Kot zgled vsem, ki bodo v prihodnje skušali delovati proti državljanom. Če je ne, je ne. Pa če na Afriko in Azijo padajo jedrske bombe, naša celina, naše zahteve, in če Evropejci rečemo da migracij ne želimo se to mora upoštevat. Če se to ne upošteva se zgodijo Trumpi in brexiti. Vse to je posledica neupoštvanja zahtev državljanov. Dam roko v ogenj, da bi EU bila še danes enotna, skupaj z VB, če bi se meje takrat zaprle.

1. evropejci smo množično proti zapiranju meja
2. Brexit je dobra stvar

So financirali Brexit?

Pac-Man je 12. feb 2017 ob 12:23 izjavil:

Sovjetski učbenik za angleški jezik, 1959

https://twitter.com/BBCSteveR/status/83...

Eno malenkost ideološko obremenjen ;)

lol. obsedenost z kapitalismom

Eh. Mogoče bomo pa končno prst pokazali Nemčiji in podobnim bafoonom pa se bo potem stanje umirilo.
Konec koncev kje pa piše, da je politika poceni, neizobražene, primitivne delovne sile edina rešitev za gospodarske težave. Nataliteto se da verjetno dvigniti tudi drugače, kot, da uvažaš primitivce iz zaostalih držav z verskimi prepričanji iz leta 3000 pred našim štetjem. Laično bi znalo biti rihtanje služb lokalcem rešitev, ki bi dolgoročno rešila oba problema...finančno preskrbljen evropejec se verjetno lažje odloči za potomce.
Ne vem zakaj si nekateri odprte meje predstavljajo kot odprte meje za cel svet. Politiki bi morali Merklovo in podobne genijalcr ustaviti takoj, ko so začeli s tem tonom in to obliko tolmačenja.

ArmsControlWonk zagovarja tezo, da z namestitvijo balističnih raket v Evropi opomnimo Ruse, naj se držijo podpisanih sporazumov.

En problem - kolikor vem, nimamo primernih raket. Quick&dirty fix bi bili tomahawki na tovornjakih, nekaj kar je obstajalo v 80ih, do prepovedi.

BGM-109G Ground Launched Cruise Missile @ Wikipedia

The BGM-109G was developed as a counter to the mobile medium- and intermediate- range ballistic nuclear missiles (SS-20 Saber) deployed by the Soviet Union in Eastern Bloc European countries. The GLCM and the U.S. Army's Pershing II may have been the incentives that fostered Soviet willingness to sign the Intermediate-Range Nuclear Forces Treaty (INF treaty), and thus possibly reduced the threat of nuclear wars in Europe.

https://twitter.com/ArmsControlWonk/sta...

Ok, let's talk about this story indicating that Russia is deploying a new cruise missile in violation of the 1987 INF treaty.
https://www.nytimes.com/2017/02/14/worl...

Despite the "N" in INF, it bans all land-based "intermediate- and shorter-range" missiles, not just nuclear.
https://www.state.gov/www/global/arms/t...

There are 2 problematic missiles: One is the RS-26 Rubezh -- a nuclear-armed IRBM that circumvents INF.
http://foreignpolicy.com/2014/04/25/an-...

The "violation" is a new ground-launched cruise missile, which I think is the 9M729 for the Iskander-M.


"9M729" comes from a now deleted announcement. The number implies the missile is for the Iskander.
http://www.armscontrolwonk.com/archive/...

In Nov 2013, @joshrogin reported that Congress was briefed on an unknown INF violation on 27 Nov 2012. (6/25)
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2...

In Jan 2014, Michael Gordon reported the US raised the violation with Moscow in May 2013, later briefed NATO. (7/25)
https://www.nytimes.com/2014/01/30/worl...

In July 2014, Gordon reported that the US had not concluded there was a compliance concern until 2011. (8/25)
https://www.nytimes.com/2014/07/29/worl...

Gordon then had a bunch more stories through 2016 about Moscow's refusal to correct the violation. (9/25)
https://www.nytimes.com/2016/10/20/worl...

This all ends with a meeting of the INF Special Verification Commission in November 2016. (10/25)
https://twitter.com/DarylGKimball/statu...

Today's @nytimes story indicates that the Russians went ahead with deploying the missile anyway, which the US called the SSC-X-8. My guess is the SSC-X-8/9M279 is a ground-based variant of Russia's 2500km Kalibr naval cruise missile.


Russia makes a 300km variant called the Klub for export that complies with the MTCR. This is a good video.


The Iskander-M carries an INF compliant 500km range cruise missile that looks like Klub. Simple inference is big one is like Kalibr. This is a treaty compliance nightmare. First, if 9M729 is launched from Iskander, all the Iskander launchers seem to be violations.

And good luck separating that treaty compliant naval- or reduced range-versions from the treaty violating 9M729. We should revisit the original 1979 NATO dual-track response -- new deployments AND arms control efforts.
http://nsarchive.gwu.edu/nukevault/ebb3...

The Soviets thought NATO was too divided to respond. The ability of NATO to complete on a politically hard deployment shocked them. The Euromissiles crisis was hard. But successfully navigating the politics demonstrated to Moscow that it underestimated NATO unity. It also helped that Gorbachev assumed power and described GLCM and Pershing-2 as a "gun to his head." YMMV with Putin. My argument has been that we need to remind Moscow why it agreed to the INF treaty, an argument that Obama officials seemed to like.

That said, I think the response should be conventional, not nuclear, and it is not quite time to withdraw from the INF treaty. Putin wants to divide NATO, and Russian disinformation suggests he thinks nuclear issues are divisive.
https://twitter.com/ArmsControlWonk/sta...

No, the US is not moving nuclear weapons from Turkey to Romania. For one thing, there are no WS3 vaults at Deveselu -- or anywhere in Romania -- to store the B61s. For another, would run afoul of political commitments in NATO-Russia Founding Act.

I suspect the Russians are just stirring up anxiety about the Aegis Ashore site at Deveselu. Russia often asserts the US intends to secretly arm missile defense interceptors with nuclear warheads to circumenvent the INF Treaty.

The point of a new dual-track decision is to make sure that Moscow gets the blame it deserves for circumventing and violating INF. Our goal is to make Russia's nuclear policies strengthen NATO unity and isolate Moscow. It's tricky, but we've done it before..

Rusko zunanje ministrstvo se je pričelo ukvarjati z razkrivanjem lažnih novic.

http://www.mid.ru/nedostovernie-publika...

Razkrivanje lažnih novic v Rusiji pomeni, da čez zaslonsko sliko vržeš debel rdeč FAKE žig in spodaj pripišeš "V tem članku so navedena dejstva, ki se ne skladajo z realnostjo." Takole:


Problem rešen.

Odgovori na kaj, kje, kako in zakaj so nepomembni. Ministrstvo je spregovorilo :D

http://www.bradenton.com/news/politics-...

Spet en ruski leak in spet jih pred večjo medijsko izpostavljenostjo rešujeta Ruščina in grabljice. Tako bo potrebno verjet Christu.

https://twitter.com/christogrozev
https://twitter.com/christogrozev/statu...

Just spoke with Usovsky, the for-hire RU active-operations guy whose mail archive was leaked yesterday.
Says "most of leaked mails authentic" but, predictably says most crucial disclosures, incl. about Montenegro role, are "faked by those geniuses in Ukraine". Which is good, as it leaves us with the limited task of verifying if those bits are technically fake-able.

"Who, Malofeev interfered in Montenegro? Never! He is a saint. I put my hand on my heart when I tell you this"

In 2008-2009, Kremlin allocated "anti-orange revolution grants" to anti-EU media in Ukraine

This is from a leaked proposal from members of Putin's electoral campaign to Kremlin, for a project to "disrupt Ukraine's preference for EU"

In 2012, the Kremlin received this confidential proposal:
https://cgrozev.files.wordpress.com/201...

iz dokumenta

In less than three years of operation, the organization has united in its ranks more than 10,000 social activists from dozens of foreign countries, established over 50 contacts with protest groups around the world and continues to successfully build capacity. Among them, are well-known action groups such as:

...

Evropski pokret Naši k orjeni - Slovenia

Prvič slišim, zgleda so tile

http://www.crnvo.me/vijesti-iz-nvo/nvo-...

NVO Evropski pokret – naši korjeni usvojila Deklaraciju o vojnoj neutralnosti Crne Gore u kojoj se navodi da je vojna neutralnost najbolji način da država očuva mir, suverenitet i nezavisnost.

Ne vem, zakaj je zadev v Angleščini. OK, gremo naprej.

in 2015&2016, this took place:
http://stop-imperialism.com/2016/09/28/...

Here's how much a fake Polish anti-Ukraine protest organizer costs.
http://wolna-polska.pl/wiadomosci/demon...

2014: Russia offers money to Jobbik to organize anti-Ukraine rally. Jobbik: "not before elections, immediately after - with pleasure!"

and here's another 2000 Euro for another faked Polish protest.

Tale s fotografijo dokumenta je precej neprofesionalna, ampak fotoaparat ima vsak, skenerji so pa precej redki. Če pač nujno rabiš potrdilo...

Obsedenost s Sorosom pa pa vedno bolj zgleda kot težek primer projekcije.

Ni problem samo twitter, ampak tole

https://www.bellingcat.com/news/uk-and-...

On 2 October 2014, a short announcement appeared on the website of the Border Police of Bosnia and Herzegovina. The matter-of-fact alert was titled “Entry of nationals of the Russian Federation”

...

This odd news item was the police’s attempt at calming the public, after local media had reported an unusual number of burly Russian men, all dressed in Cossack uniform, popping up in the tiny Balkan country in the weeks leading up to presidential elections on October 12. More alarmingly, the nation’s Federal TV had identified some of the Cossack visitors – in particular their leader, Nikolay Djakonov, as having led a paramilitary Cossack unit during the accession of Crimea earlier that year.

...

The purported reason for the Cossacks’ arrival was to take part in a folklore performance on the occasion of the 100th anniversary of the start of the First World War. However, local media quickly discovered that none of the sheep-skin hatted dancers seemed to know when the planned performances were going to be, nor how long they planned to stay in the country. Nor, for that matter, could they dance.

...

Some of the arriving Cossacks crossed the border in vehicles owned by Republika Srpska special police forces, and were stationed at the special police training barracks in Laktasi, near Banja Luka. The public behavior of the men was also reminiscent of that of the so-called “polite people” popping up in Crimea in the weeks before the annexation – they made their presence ostentatious but refused to talk to the media.

...

On election day, Oct 12th, after casting his vote for himself at 15:10, Milorad Dodik was driven directly to the secluded posh Kalderra Hotel, a 15-minute ride from Banja Luka. There, he met his wealthy and influential Russian guest. (...) His name was Konstantin Malofeev.

Leader of Cossacks in Banja Luka, Nikolay Djakonov (second left on left photo) at Donbass Veterans Congress, 4 November 2016, At President Hotel in Moscow

Putin’s adviser Surkov (Center), together with Russian neo-Nazi volunteer in Donbass Alexey Milchakov (second from left), Boroday (fourth from left), and others.

Malofeev’s employee and former “DNR Prime Minister” Alexander Boroday (far left), with paramilitary commander Nikolai Diakonov (far right), at a Donbass Volunteer Congress in Rostov, Russia; photo taken on 10-10-2016

...

While all of Malofeev’s initiatives in Ukraine were, formally, privately organized and funded, intercepted phone calls between him and his lieutenants on the ground in Ukraine, as well as hacked email correspondence, showed that he closely coordinated his actions with the Kremlin, at times via the powerful Orthodox priest Bishop Tikhon whom Malofeev and Putin (in their own words) share as spiritual adviser; at other times via direct coordination between Malofeev and Putin’s advisers Surkov and Glazyev, but also via Malofeev’s close collaboration with RISS – the Kremlin-owned Russian Institute for Strategic Studies, chaired by former KGB/SVR Gen. Leonid Reshetnikov. In addition, a recent email hack that we have reviewed suggests that at least one employee of Malofeev’s participated in non-public sessions of the Russian government.

...

On October 7th 2014, Alexander Dugin, the extreme-right, expansionist ideologue on Malofeev’s payroll who had played a key role in recruiting Russian volunteers for the war in Eastern Ukraine, emailed Malofeev a draft for an article in which he outlined Russia’s national interest in steering events in Republika Srpska towards Dodik’s victory

...

Dugin’s warning was published in several Serbian-language and Russian websites in the days preceding the election, as was seen from Dugin’s emailed report on channels of dissemination on Oct 11., the day before the election.

...

As seen in a recent mail dump leaked by Ukrainian hacker group CyberJunta, on October 23th 2014, Ms. Alena Sharoykina, publicly an anti-GMO activist and CEO of Malofeev’s TV channel Tsargrad TV, and privately Malofeev’s project manager for false-flag operations in Eastern Europe, emailed an urgent task to one of her agents whom Malofeev had been financing to plant disinformation and organize pro-Russian and anti-Ukraine rallies in CEE. The agent’s name was Alexandr Usovsky, a chronically penniless, Belarus-born struggling novelist, and member of a number of Russian extreme-right nationalist organizations (including the infamous NSO-North which was responsible for at least 27 hate-motivated murders”. Usovsky appears also closely linked to European Neo-Nazi parties, whose assistance he generously offered to Malofeev, who in turn was seeking for agents of influence (or proxies of disruption) in Europe. Usovsky frequently offered Malofeev the cooperation of the Polish neo-Nazi party OWP, Ľudová strana Naše Slovensko in Slovakia, as well as with the outlawed paramilitary arm of Jobbik in Hungary, Hungarian Guard. He often began his emails to his closer friends “Sieg Heil”.

Sharoykina’s email to Usovsky was titled “Republika Srpska”, and instructed Usovsky to conduct a “small special operation” – a controlled leak into the Polish news space of Malofeev’s secret hotel meeting with Dodik on election day.

Email from Sharoykina to Usovsky, requesting leak of photo of Malofeev meeting Dodik on election day, via bloggers in Poland

The leaker was to imply the hypothesis that the billionaire’s arrival to Banja Luka was linked to the presence of Russian spetznaz in guise of Cossack dancers, and that he was there to oversee a Crimea-like scenario in case of negative electoral outcome. Sharoykina sent Usovsky the paparazzi-style photo of Malofeev and Dodik and asked that it be leaked as well.

Dodik and Malofeev, election day

Usovsky chose to distribute the message via his trusted contact Dawid Berezicki, functionary of the extreme-right anti-Semitic Polish People’s Party.

Usovsky reports back to Malofeev’s associate that he sent a proposed text for the leak, and asked him to choose ideally a “liberal blogger” as a leak destination.

...

Whatever the goal was, putting the Cossack dance troupe in action (other than the psychological impact of 143 menacing, uniformed Russian men roaming the streets on election day) was never required. On October 28th, the final vote tally showed that Dodik won the election by just under 7000 votes.

...

Bellingcat and The Insider separately attempted to obtain comments as to the purpose of the leaked emails – and the underlying intent of the Cossacks’ arrival to Banja Luka – from Ms. Sharoykina and Mr. Usovksy. (...) He told Bellingcat that Mr. Malofeev was a “saint man whose only international activities are related to assisting the Orthodox church”. However, in an interview with The Insider, Usovsky did admit to receiving funding for operations in Central and Eastern Europe from Konstantin Malofeev “in the period May-October 2014”, and subsequently one small tranche from “Malofeev’s assistant”, presumably Sharoykina.

...

Several months following the elections, in June 2015, freshly re-elected Milorad Dodik awarded Konstantin Malofeev, Leonid Reshetnikov, and Putin’s adviser and close friend of Malofeeev, Igor Shtegolev, Orders of Njegos – First Degree for contribution to the “formation of the Republika Srpska”.

President Dodik awards Gen. Reshetnikov the Order of Njegos – Ist Degree; 29-6-2015

...

In Part 2 of this investigation Bellingcat and The Insider review evidence for the role of Konstantin Malofeev, Kremlin’s think-tank RISS and GRU in the failed coup attempt in Montenegro.

Kokice.

https://ru.wikipedia.org/wiki/Н&#...

ima da dela preko bit.ly :)

http://bit.ly/2m8bfHr

gtranslate:

"People's Cathedral" (the full name of the All-Russian public movement "People's Cathedral") - Russian Public Movement [4] [5] [6] , based on the idea of national patriotism and Orthodoxy [4] [7] [8] and engaged in social protection morality and traditional family values

People's Council, which opposes the propaganda of homosexuality [10] , has become famous in particular, protests against the concert of Madonna [10] , supporting the LGBT community , as well as his claim that nearly ended with imprisonment for the curators of the exhibition " Forbidden Art " Yuri Samodurov and Andrei Yerofeyev [11] [12] . In 2003, after another of the exhibition "Caution, Religion!" Activists "People's Cathedral" defeated the Center Sakharov , and in May of 2012 picketed an exhibition of Marat Gelman's "Homeland"

...

His goal of "People's Council" puts transform Russia based on "traditional spiritual and moral values of the Russian civilization."

"People's Council" opposes " Russophobia ", "uncontrolled immigration", " totalitarian sects ", lawlessness, corruption, gay parades and any other action "aimed at undermining the country, its spiritual and moral values of the culture."

...

the movement "People's Cathedral" in early 2013 to work on the creation of a special wing of the monitoring and detection of sects in Russia, designed to help law enforcement agencies in the fight against sectarianism.

...

Notable initiatives

"Hillary List" as a response to the "Magnitsky List" (2012) [28] .
Russian religious procession "The memory of grateful descendants" (2012), dedicated to the 400 th anniversary of the victory of the People's Militia led by the Nizhny Novgorod Zemsky elder Kuzma Minin and Prince Dmitry Pozharsky magistrates [29] .
Initiation of the collection of signatures under the appeal to the deputies of the Moscow City Duma, containing a request to the city of parliament to pass a bill banning the propaganda of homosexuality (2012) [30] .

Tule sta dva članka o prihodnosti Rusije.

Povprečen Rus ne bo živel nič bolje vsaj do leta 2035:

https://themoscowtimes.com/news/no-chan...

Rusija je bistveno manjša grožnja kot izgleda:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/mon...

Če se v Rusiji nič ne sprmeni bo tole sranje z Rusijo v roku desetletja ali dveh podobno sranju na korejskem polotoku.

Smrekar1 je 9. mar 2017 ob 12:14 izjavil:

Tule sta dva članka o prihodnosti Rusije.

Povprečen Rus ne bo živel nič bolje vsaj do leta 2035:

https://themoscowtimes.com/news/no-chan...

Rusija je bistveno manjša grožnja kot izgleda:

https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/mon...

Če se v Rusiji nič ne sprmeni bo tole sranje z Rusijo v roku desetletja ali dveh podobno sranju na korejskem polotoku.

Nic novega, vsakemu vsaj kancek pameti in znanja ekonomije, bi mu morala te nastete stavri ze prej jasne. Rusija z bdpjem ne bo morala niti blizu konkurirati ZDA, EU in Kitajski, logicno bo posledice cutila tudi njihova vojska.

@Smrekar @Smurf

Itak, Rusija je ekonomsko v zelo slabem položaju in vsako leto bo samo slabše, ker cena nafte ne bo nikoli več 100 $ za sodček. Pa tudi če bi bila toliko, bi to Rusiji dalo par let več časa pol pa bi bili na istem.

Pač dejstvo je, da bi Rusija se morala korenito reformirati in ubrati politiko - manj je več.
Opustiti napadalno retoriko, se osredotočiti na obrambno funkcijo države, opustiti regije, ki si jih je prisvojila, ker so samo strošek in izguba za državo kratkoročno in dolgoročno.

Morali bise osredotočiti na izboljšanje ekonomske situacije, zdravstvenega sistema in izobraženosti ter delovno kvalificiranim migrantom, ki bi delali v Rusiji in tudi živeli tam.

Samo kaj, ko so Rusi miselno nekje v 19. ali 20. stoletju, ko so mislili da več ko imaš ozemlja, bolj si bogat in močan.

Ta miselnost nima več prostora v 21. stoletju, ko se je vse spremenilo. Dvomim, da bo za Ruse kaj bolje po letu 2035, pomoje jih čaka dolgoročno hiranje in bodo vsako dekado slabše razviti, na drugi strani pa bodo druge države jih presegle in postajale vse bolj bogate, pa so na ravni standarda na istem kot Rusija danes ali slabše.

Topovi pač ne bood nahranili prebivalstva, ker tudi rabiš hrano za izdelavo topov. Brez hrane je konec.

https://twitter.com/KevinRothrock/statu...

The star of a 2012 documentary about a pro-Putin activist has received a green card to live in America. She's en route to U.S. citizenship.

cel film

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2017/...

Raised in East Germany, Jack Barsky abandoned his mother, brother, wife and son to spy for the KGB. In America, he started a second family. And then it all came crashing down...

On a chilly morning in December 1988, computer analyst Jack Barsky embarked on his usual morning commute to his office on Madison Avenue in Manhattan, leaving his wife and baby daughter at home in Queens. As he entered the subway, he caught sight of something startling: a daub of red paint on a metal beam. Barsky had looked for it every morning for years; it meant he had a life-changing decision to make, and fast.

Barsky knew the drill. The red paint was a warning that he was in immediate danger, that he should hurry to collect cash and emergency documents from a prearranged drop site. From there, he would cross the border into Canada and contact the Soviet consulate in Toronto. Arrangements would be made for him to leave the country. He would cease to be Jack Barsky. The American identity he had inhabited for a decade would evaporate and he would return to his former life: that of Albrecht Dittrich, a chemist and KGB agent, with a wife and seven-year-old son waiting patiently for him in East Germany.

Barsky thought of his American daughter, Chelsea: could he really leave her? And, if he didn’t, how long could he evade both the KGB and US counterintelligence?

Priprti direktor Roskozmosa je zaradi vbodnih ran umrl v priporu.

https://twitter.com/christogrozev/statu...

Ex chief of Russia space program found dead in detention cell with two knife wounds in heart, severed throat, police say it MIGHT be murder

https://ria.ru/incidents/20170318/14903...

The Investigative Committee carries out a check on the fact of finding the body of a man with knife wounds in the Moscow SIZO

...

According to a source in law enforcement agencies, it is about the death of the former executive director of Roskosmos Vladimir Evdokimov, who is accused of fraud for 200 million rubles.

December 2016:
https://sputniknews.com/russia/20161201...

Roscosmos COO Vladimir Evdokimov has been arrested Thursday on fraud charges. He has been accused of stealing over $3 Mln, a RIA Novosti correspondent reported from the court proceedings on Thursday.

...

Evdokimov faces up to 10 years of imprisonment under large scale fraud charges if found guilty. The investigation has found that Evdokimov has committed fraud, stealing more than $3 million from the Russian Aircraft Corporation MiG.

...

Evdokimov himself said that he does not admit his guilt. He pointed out that he provide his testimony and is willing to cooperate with the investigation.

Žvižganje v Rusiji močno skrajša pričakovano življenjsko dobo. Če si ujet, častno odsedi svoje. Za domovino! Za Putina!

Zelo sposobna družina.

Igor Putin @ Wikipedia

Igor Alexandrovich Putin (Russian: Игорь Александрович Путин; born 30 March 1953 in Leningrad) is a Russian businessman and politician, former Vice President of Master Bank. He is a cousin of former Russian Prime Minister and current Russian President Vladimir Putin

...

In September 2010 Igor Putin became a Vice President of Master Bank. In the same month the bank received a lucrative contract with Russian Nanotechnology Corporation. Still Igor Putin held the Vice President position only a few months and retired in December 2010. His retirement coincided with a criminal investigation in which over 30 million Russian roubles was allegedly stolen from the bank by its employees using IT technologies. (...) In March 2011, five days after conclusion of the investigations Igor Putin returned to the bank as a director.

...

A story by the Organized Crime and Corruption Reporting Project discussed how a number of banks associated with Putin were involved in a massive money laundering scheme dubbed "The Laundromat".[4] The system moved money through Putin's and other banks using fake loans between offshore, paper companies, bribed Moldovan judges and Moldovan and Latvian banks to move money out of Russia and into Europe.

Putin%27s Kleptocracy @ Wikipedia

Za knjigo obstaja PDF s čez 1000 stranmi, ampak ga ne bom linkal, travniške fore.

Starodavni je 9. mar 2017 ob 20:40 izjavil:

@Smrekar @Smurf

Itak, Rusija je ekonomsko v zelo slabem položaju in vsako leto bo samo slabše, ker cena nafte ne bo nikoli več 100 $ za sodček. Pa tudi če bi bila toliko, bi to Rusiji dalo par let več časa pol pa bi bili na istem.

Pač dejstvo je, da bi Rusija se morala korenito reformirati in ubrati politiko - manj je več.
Opustiti napadalno retoriko, se osredotočiti na obrambno funkcijo države, opustiti regije, ki si jih je prisvojila, ker so samo strošek in izguba za državo kratkoročno in dolgoročno.

Morali bise osredotočiti na izboljšanje ekonomske situacije, zdravstvenega sistema in izobraženosti ter delovno kvalificiranim migrantom, ki bi delali v Rusiji in tudi živeli tam.

Samo kaj, ko so Rusi miselno nekje v 19. ali 20. stoletju, ko so mislili da več ko imaš ozemlja, bolj si bogat in močan.

Ta miselnost nima več prostora v 21. stoletju, ko se je vse spremenilo. Dvomim, da bo za Ruse kaj bolje po letu 2035, pomoje jih čaka dolgoročno hiranje in bodo vsako dekado slabše razviti, na drugi strani pa bodo druge države jih presegle in postajale vse bolj bogate, pa so na ravni standarda na istem kot Rusija danes ali slabše.

Topovi pač ne bood nahranili prebivalstva, ker tudi rabiš hrano za izdelavo topov. Brez hrane je konec.

Sej to ravno počne. Aktivna obramba, četudi na račun tujih držav.

Poglej malo zemljevide, Rusija še nikoli ni bila v tako majhnem obsegu vse od Katerine Velike.

Napad na Gruzijo je onemogočil tej državi članstvo v NATU, enako je za Ukrajino, z osvojitvijo Krimeje so NATU onemogočili pomorsko izkrcanje tik pred Moskvo, skratka ne bodo več ponovili iste napake kot pri Baltiku.


Ta miselnost je še kako živa. Če misliš da se bo z 21.stoletjem kaj spremenilo se motiš.

Enako čaka naš po 2035, saj nismo nič kaj boljši od Rusov po demografiji.