Iran - odštevanje

kljuc je v temu, kako je ta critical capability definirana.

kaj ima veze, ce majo nekaj obogatenega urana?
kot dirty bomb itak ni ucinkovit prevec + v primeru uporabe bi iran itak zbrisali z zemljevida, do prave jedrske SRBM, IRBM pa rabis se ogromno casa. 10 let bp zaradi vseh sankcij.

According to a Maariv report Sunday, Israeli officials have come to terms with the fact that a partial deal with Iran will be signed, possibly as soon as this month. However, they say two clauses favorable to Israel’s stance will be added, namely demanding that the Arak heavy water reactor be kept shut and the uranium enriched to over 20 percent be converted into fuel rods.

Neither is a cap sufficient on the amount of 19.75 percent low enriched uranium (LEU) that Iran can stockpile. A cap is useful but Iran has installed the centrifuge capability to rapidly make a considerable amount of near 20 percent LEU, so it could overcome any cap within a few months, while professing to need this LEU for its civil nuclear program. It is in any case slowly building up toward the limit imposed by the international community, namely that it produce no more than about 250 kilograms of near 20 percent LEU hexafluoride. As of June 2013, it possessed about 180 kilograms. Iran’s stockpile of near 20 percent LEU hexafluoride certainly affects how rapidly Iran could breakout, making a cap worthwhile. By itself, however, this cap cannot prevent Iran reaching a critical capability.

Isotropic je 20. nov 2013 ob 03:03 izjavil:

poglej, kaj se je zgodilo z arafatom, ko je opustil program jedrskega orozja.
alpa assadom, mubarakom... me nebi nic cudilo, ce bi se cez par (10) let izvedelo, da je mela 'murika prste vmes (vsaj z egiptovsko vojsko je mela kar dobre odnose).

Akbar Salehi, head of the Atomic Energy Organization of Iran, told Reuters that their 20% enrichment production, was going "very well," adding "There is no limit on enrichment. We can enrich up to 100% ... But we never had the intention and we do not have the intention to do so, unless we need (to)."

Po moje ne. Dvomim, da si lahko privoščijo odkrito vojno.

bluefish je 20. nov 2013 ob 20:10 izjavil:

O kakem EMP ti sanjaš?

Others have speculated that Israel will also produce an EMP that will send Iran back to the Stone Age. “If Israel chooses one of its Jericho III missiles to detonate a single EMP warhead at high altitude over north central Iran, there will be with no blast or radiation effects on the ground,” writes Joe Tuzara for Arutz Sheva, the ultra-religious Zionist media network.

Coupled with cyber-attacks, Iranians would not know it happened except for a massive shutdown of the electric power grid, oil refineries and a transportation gridlock. Food supply would be exhausted and communication would be largely impossible, leading to economic collapse. Similarly, the uranium enrichment centrifuges in Fordo, Natanz and widely scattered elsewhere, would freeze for decades.

Iran’s response to an EMP attack would be futile and uncannily tragic. Before the elite Qods force could mine the Strait of Hormuz and wreak havoc to Arab Gulf states oil refineries, the Fifth Fleet and U.S. military installations, Iran’s administrative-industrial-military complex infrastructures would have been laid to waste without the ruling clerical regime knowing about it.

Double_J je 20. nov 2013 ob 20:18 izjavil:

Others have speculated that Israel will also produce an EMP that will send Iran back to the Stone Age. “If Israel chooses one of its Jericho III missiles to detonate a single EMP warhead at high altitude over north central Iran, there will be with no blast or radiation effects on the ground,” writes Joe Tuzara for Arutz Sheva, the ultra-religious Zionist media network.

Skratka, EM valovanje ob jedrski eksploziji ni nič novega. Sanjati, da bi Izrael kar tako za lulz poslal tako raketo nad drugo državo, pa je norija.

Hayabusa je 20. nov 2013 ob 17:40 izjavil:

Sakin je 20. nov 2013 ob 15:14 izjavil:

Jaz sem pa mislil, da je umrl za posledicami aidsa :) Kako so našli po 8ih letih dokaze o poloniju je pa tudi kvantni problem, glede na to da ima element razpolovno dobo pol leta.

V pol leta pade radioaktivnost na polovico, v 1 letu na 1/4 in tako dalje limita proti 0.

Double_J je 20. nov 2013 ob 21:15 izjavil:

Aja... nisem še videl da bi kdo napadel državo, ki ima jedrsko oborožitev. To se še ni zgodilo nikoli v zgodovini.

Amb. Cooper warned that, given our nation’s current state of unpreparedness, if a natural or nuclear EMP catastrophe struck today, blacking out the electrical grid and other critical infrastructures for a year, as many as ninety percent of the American people could perish from starvation, disease and societal collapse. This assessment is from the Congressional EMP Commission that examined the EMP threat for nearly a decade, including performing numerous scientific experiments and producing what is widely regarded as the definitive study of critical infrastructure vulnerabilities and solutions.

When specifically questioned about the potential use of nuclear weapons against Iran, President Bush claimed that "All options were on the table". According to the Bulletin of the Atomic Scientist, Bush "directly threatened Iran with a preemptive nuclear strike. It is hard to read his reply in any other way."