Rusija vs. Ukrajina aka. "Putin - še sladkih 16 let na oblasti?"

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This apparent prosperity relies mostly on a single commodity: oil. A plan to embargo 90 per cent of Russian oil imports to the EU by the end of the year will be significant, Guriev says, but it is still months away and until it is implemented, “it’s actually good for Putin, because an oil embargo in December raises oil prices today”.

This is why a price cap on Russian oil and gas, agreed by G7 leaders on 27 July, is vital: not only because it would reduce the market value of Russian oil before the embargo, but because it would affect how much India and China will pay for Russian energy.

“You can see how a country like India, which is now buying much more Russian oil than before, can say to Putin, ‘Look, we would love to pay you a lot of money. But if we pay you more than the price cap, the US will impose sanctions against us. So, sorry Vladimir, we’ll pay you $50 per barrel.’ And of course within India that will be popular.”

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Putin is also taking a huge economic risk with his policy of “gas blackmail”. In June and July, Russia sharply reduced the flow of gas through the Nord Stream 1 pipeline to Europe, forcing up energy prices and therefore inflation in the West. Putin’s goal is clear – to bring about recession and political turbulence in the West – but less has been written about the cost. “While in May and June Russia ran a fiscal surplus, in July 2022 it ran a huge fiscal deficit of 0.9 trillion roubles – 8 per cent of GDP,” Guriev points out. “It is a gamble.”

More revealing numbers are also to be found in Russia’s output. “The number of cars produced in May 2022 was 30 times lower than the number of cars produced in May 2021. This is something which you can tell much more than a default. A friend of mine has joked that we are going back to the 1980s, where you wait for your Lada for decades.”

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As Western economies face their own impending recessions, Guriev says it is imperative they do not attempt to preserve their own economic fictions. Inflation – accelerated dramatically by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine – is causing widespread discontent, but this is probably part of Putin’s calculations. The leaders of Western countries are currently united in their opposition to Putin, but in the United States, France and other countries, economic hardship may clear the way for politicians much more accommodating to the Kremlin.

“It’s a bit like 1938. We know that Vladimir Putin, if he is pacified, is pacified only temporarily. So if he wins this war, that means that there’ll be a new war. And in that sense, if you don’t agree to pay this cost now, you will have to pay a much higher cost in the future.”

BBB je 20. avg 2022 ob 19:50 izjavil:

Katere od naslednjih navedb so neresnične?

Voss je 20. avg 2022 ob 16:01 izjavil:

Yesterday, Joe Biden signed a new 800 million dollar military aid package for Ukraine containing:

Hey everyone! I'm back and I'm coming at you hot with a brand new RUSSIAN PROPAGANDA REVIEW. In today's video we'll react to a "patriotic" pro-Kremlin Z concert that was thrown in St Petersburg not too long ago after the start of Russia's special operation in Ukraine, and it's one of the craziest things I've ever seen. It's an example of how Russia's propaganda talking points and aesthetic can go full 1984. George Orwell... wouldn't be that proud. Smash like and subscribe for more thx xoxo

It was a film ahead of its time- made to look like a big dumb blockbuster but actually a satirical look at fascism, militarism, and the relationship between the two.

gazibo je 21. avg 2022 ob 13:46 izjavil:

Ciljajo na fotra in ubijejo hčerko. Keri retardi nesposobni
Ni čudn da jim država polzi iz rok z vsakim dnem več in več

The former deputy read what purported to be an NRA manifesto:
"We declare President Putin a usurper of power and a war criminal who amended the Constitution, unleashed a fratricidal war between the Slavic peoples and sent Russian soldiers to certain and senseless death.

"Poverty and coffins for some, palaces for others - the essence of his policy. We believe that disenfranchised people have the right to rebel against tyrants. Putin will be deposed and destroyed by us!"

Voss je 21. avg 2022 ob 23:27 izjavil:

Se ja pa očitno začelo kuhati v Rusiji.

Sheteentz je 22. avg 2022 ob 07:12 izjavil:

kjer še stranišč ne poznajo, in kjer je človek bolj kot ne potrošna roba.

cias je 20. avg 2022 ob 17:12 izjavil:

Kaj bo sploh sedaj z EU ko se gre Nemčija deindustrializacijo? Kdo bo vse plačal

Pariški L’oeuvre je 4. maja 1939 na naslovni strani objavil slavno vprašanje: “So Francozi zares pripravljeni umreti za Gdansk?”

cias je 19. avg 2022 ob 16:51 izjavil:

Pac-Man je 19. avg 2022 ob 16:41 izjavil:

Pomočnik ruskega obrambnega ministra ima 255 m² veliko stanovanje na zasebnem otoku ob Miamiju

Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky rode to power on pledges to clean up the Eastern European country, but the Pandora Papers reveal he and his close circle were the beneficiaries of a network of offshore companies, including some that owned expensive London property.

l0g1t3ch je 22. avg 2022 ob 00:36 izjavil:

The former deputy read what purported to be an NRA manifesto:
"We declare President Putin a usurper of power and a war criminal who amended the Constitution, unleashed a fratricidal war between the Slavic peoples and sent Russian soldiers to certain and senseless death.

"Poverty and coffins for some, palaces for others - the essence of his policy. We believe that disenfranchised people have the right to rebel against tyrants. Putin will be deposed and destroyed by us!"

Fun times ahead :)

Odd twist in the Daria Dugina car bombing. Russian opposition ex-MP Ilya Ponomarev – who was once close to Surkov, but went into exile and moved to Ukraine a few years ago – says a “National Republican Army” of Russian partisans has taken responsibility.



Lots to unpack. Ponomarev was not exactly a widely trusted figure in Russia during his opposition days. Even moving to Ukraine didn’t help. Nobody has heard of this group. And if you are going to start doing car bombings in Russia, Dugin and his daughter are odd first targets

Surkov has been one of the main organizers of the Skolkovo Innovation Center near Moscow. The decision to start Skolkovo as a Russian equivalent of Silicon Valley in California was made by Medvedev in November 2009. Recently, Skolkovo has been under attack from by the Russian Investigative Committee (Sledstvenny Kommitet Rossiy or SKR), which has accused the high-tech complex’s management of misappropriating budget funds and, much more damaging, of funneling money to the pro-democracy, anti-Putin opposition. Surkov had publicly defended Skolkovo’s reputation and accused the SKR of being too rash in its unproven public accusations. The SKR, in turn, accused the “managers of Skolkovo [of] possibly smoking themselves high,” when they decided to payroll the anti-Putin opposition “by signing a contract with opposition Duma deputy Ilya Ponomarev to read a number of lectures for $750,000” (Izvestia, May 7). The SKR is at present running a criminal investigation of Skolkovo activities, and there are reports that Surkov personally sanctioned the signing of a lavish lecture contract with Ponomarev and that this information induced the Russian president into action. Putin, an increasingly paranoid authoritarian ruler, sees enemies all-round, external and internal, and in his own surroundings. Putin believes opposition protests are financed by his enemies and anyone providing any support to the opposition in any form must also be an enemy—so Surkov had to be punished. Reportedly, Sergei Ivanov, the chief of the Kremlin administration, and his first deputy, Vyacheslav Volodin, who now occupies Surkov’s former position of being in charge of ideology and internal politics, used the opportunity to tarnish Surkov in Putin’s eyes as a traitor (www.forbes.ru/sobytiya/vlast/238807-vla....

Given the problems and rivalries between forces in Russia's security apparatus, it cannot be ruled out that Daria Dugin's assassination was an inside job, especially if Dugin is telling Putin - as the rumors whisper - that the FSB is to blame for the bad results in Ukraine.

And now they will also have the instrument to draw attention to Ukrainian - or Western - cells working inside Russia to be blamed (which is already running as a campaign) while clearing the terrain and finding nationalist reasons to bring more soldiers to the frontlines.

I don't think the Dugin murder was FSB. I think more likely it was GRU or SVR and/or a group comprised of intelligence and military officers who see the Russian military and diplomatic corps being destroyed by a dying madman surrounded by sycophants like Dugin and his daughter.

NRA's manifesto sounded like something I wrote borrowed from Thomas Jefferson: "We believe that disenfranchised people have the right to rebel against tyrants." Perhaps Russian rank & file military commanders who've watched corrupt Putin regime loot the armed forces to buy super yachts for scoundrels while the majority of people in Russia live in squalor, have the recipe for a second Russian revolution. They got to Dugin's daughter and maybe him too. Now let's see what if any Oligarch's are on their short list.

Pac-Man je 22. avg 2022 ob 12:53 izjavil:

Moj denar je na ruskih obveščevalcih, verjetno FSB.

MOSCOW, 22 August. /TASS/. The murder of journalist Daria Dugina has been solved, it was prepared by the Ukrainian special services, the performer is a citizen of Ukraine Natalia Vovk, who disappeared after the crime in Estonia. This was reported to TASS on Monday at the Center for Public Relations of the FSB of Russia.

"As a result of a complex of urgent operational-search measures, the Federal Security Service has solved the murder of Russian journalist Darya Dugina, born in 1992," the FSB stressed. The special service established that "the crime was prepared and committed by the Ukrainian special services," and its perpetrator is a citizen of Ukraine Vovk Natalya Pavlovna, born in 1979.

She arrived in Russia on July 23, 2022, together with her daughter Shaban Sofia Mikhailovna, born in 2010. “On the day of the murder, Vovk and Shaban were at the Tradition literary and music festival, where Dugina was present as an honored guest. region to Estonia," the FSB said.

The secret service clarified that in order to organize the murder of Dugina and obtain information about her lifestyle, Vovk and her daughter rented an apartment in Moscow in the house where the deceased lived. The criminals used a Mini Cooper car to monitor the journalist. At the same time, when entering Russia, the numbers of the Donetsk People's Republic were used - Е982ХН DPR, in Moscow - Kazakhstani numbers 172AJD02, and when leaving - Ukrainian AH7771IP. "The materials of the investigation have been transferred to the Investigative Committee," the FSB added.

Earlier, the Russian opposition leader Ilya Ponomarev, on the air of the YouTube channel "Morning of February", said that the so-called National Republican Army could be behind the murder of the daughter of the philosopher of the Russian world, Daria Dugina. At the same time, Ponomarev himself called for joining the NRA and providing support to this organization.

Russian prominent liberals (and Putin opponents) publish their mourn the death of Daria Dugina, a 30-y.o. top Nazi party member and a prominent Nazi propagandist, who openly called Ukrainian "subhumans", called for a genocide of Ukrainians and for public execution of POWs.

The West totally ignores how the Russian liberals (who well understand that they are dependent on Putin) are well-integrated into this Nazi propaganda system. Here: Alexey Venidiktov, "Echo Moscow", with Putin's tops propagandists incl Simonyan (RT) and with Maria Zakharova

Or look here: the "Moscow liberal" star Yevgeniya Albats and a liberal star journalist Zygar (the author of a book about the Kremlin inner circle, which was cheered in the West as a great insight) are happy to meet Margarita Simonyan at a Kremlin's FIFA WM and post a selfie.

Do you think it is just smth "professional" like "we both are journalists after all, let's put away our differences"? (Weird, but still). No. Here is a top liberal Novaya Gazeta journalist Kanygin smiling and showing a "victory" sigh with a Russian terror organizer Borodai

Of course, the "liberal" circle is not identical to the "Kremlin" one and is sometimes targeted by state-run attacks, incl. very brutal ones. But the lifestyle of both is not a fight, it is a complicated and sophisticated co-habitation, a mutual dependency (and often - liking)