Severna Koreja grozi z jedrskim orožjem

)...)To find out, I got in touch with Jeffrey Lewis, director of the East Asia Nonproliferation Program at the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey. Lewis is an honest-to-goodness expert on North Korea’s nuclear program, so what he has to say carries real weight.

...

They’re trying to imagine this era where they can use nuclear weapons early regionally, and we’re going to be like, "We’ve got to stop, because otherwise LA is going to be next." So if we can head off the ICBM program, then things are going to be a lot more stable.

...

People hope that you’re going to be able to use sanctions to put political pressure on a government. But, hey, we’ve tried that with North Korea, and that’s not worked.

So what we’re left with is to negotiate. And that’s hard, because they’re unpleasant — an ugly, ugly, ugly government. Nobody wants to sit down to a state dinner with Kim Jong Un while people in North Korea are starving. But the reality is that there’s not any other way to get them to not build this stuff other than to persuade them not to.

And this is a huge problem: The North Koreans have always been super clear that they’re willing to trade away stuff that they haven’t done yet for promises of a better relationship, but they’re not willing to trade away stuff that they have done.

So 20 years ago, when we were talking with them about a missile deal — that was a great deal. They’d built hardly any of these things, so locking them in place — even though we couldn’t get rid of the last few missiles — would have been amazing.

But we were, like, total dicks about it. We were like, "No, no, it has to be everything." And they said, "Okay, we’ll build some more stuff."

Making a deal with North Korea is going to require accepting that they have a certain amount of nuclear capability that will threaten South Korea and Japan. That will be a political nightmare. Think about how bad the Iran debate was, and now try to imagine cutting a deal in which Kim Jong Un gets to keep his nuclear weapons.

ziga1990 je 12. sep 2016 ob 09:15 izjavil:

-Južna Koreja pa ni toliko neumna, da bi udarila prva, ker ko je Severno Korejska vojska uničena imajo prevelik problem kaj narediti z njo jo pustiti pri miru ali se združiti

Smrekar1 je 12. sep 2016 ob 09:19 izjavil:

ziga1990 je 12. sep 2016 ob 09:15 izjavil:

-Južna Koreja pa ni toliko neumna, da bi udarila prva, ker ko je Severno Korejska vojska uničena imajo prevelik problem kaj narediti z njo jo pustiti pri miru ali se združiti

Tako, ja. Glavna obramba Severne Koreje ni jedrsko orožje in ni njihova armada, temveč na desetine milijonov sestradanih beguncev - Sirija x3 in Južna Koreja mora to urediti večvidel sama.

mtosev je 13. apr 2017 ob 19:29 izjavil:

dvomim, da bo kaj šlo. kitajska noče par miljonov beguncov da pride iz koreje na kitajsko. so proti temu.

ziga1990 je 13. apr 2017 ob 20:52 izjavil:

Hehe baje, da je jedrska bomba že v tunelu samo še vprašanje časa kdaj bo počilo trenutno se predvideva da bo počilo v soboto.

Jaz pa mislim, da ZDA in Južna koreja ne upata dejansko napasti Severne koreje in samo žugata z orožjem.

mtosev je 13. apr 2017 ob 21:00 izjavil:

ziga1990 je 13. apr 2017 ob 20:52 izjavil:

Hehe baje, da je jedrska bomba že v tunelu samo še vprašanje časa kdaj bo počilo trenutno se predvideva da bo počilo v soboto.

Jaz pa mislim, da ZDA in Južna koreja ne upata dejansko napasti Severne koreje in samo žugata z orožjem.

počaki, da naredijo icmb z nuke warheadom. tedaj bi jaz tudi napado. da bi oni norec imel icmb je nedopustno.

mtosev je 13. apr 2017 ob 21:43 izjavil:

amerika jih lahko v enemu tednu neosposobi.

mtosev je 13. apr 2017 ob 21:43 izjavil:

ziga1990 je 13. apr 2017 ob 21:29 izjavil:

^^ kakšna akcija saj niso nori, če napadejo bo severna koreja odgovorila in bo grdo postalo

me zanima s čem bodo odgovorli. amerika jih lahko v enemu tednu neosposobi. tam ljudi umirajo od lakote. bi rad vido, da so se pripravljeni boriti za una.