Tesla 3

Tesla has a lot of debt. Among the $23 billion in liabilities are: $10.2 billion in long-term debt and $854 million in customer deposits, according to its annual report. Tesla also had considerable liquidity at the end of December, including $3.4 billion in cash and securities, and a "moderate availability" under its $1.9 billion asset-based loan facility (some of which has been burned up in Q1). But Moody's says that this is "not adequate to cover:"

Once this powerful cash-burn machine can no longer fuel itself by selling new shares and new debt, it's a scenario for default. Moody's would then slap a "D" rating on the company and its debt, by which time most investors have already watched their capital go up in smoke.

Tesla ima dve opciji za preživetje:
- dosega tarč proizvodnje Model S in hkrati znižanje stroškov (veliko naj bi šlo za investicije trenutno)
- Elon mora prepričati investitorje, naj mu dajo še več denarja

Tesla ima dve opciji za preživetje:
- dosega tarč proizvodnje Model X in hkrati znižanje stroškov (veliko naj bi šlo za investicije trenutno)
- Elon mora prepričati investitorje, naj mu dajo še več denarja

Tesla ima dve opciji za preživetje:
- dosega tarč proizvodnje Model 3 in hkrati znižanje stroškov (veliko naj bi šlo za investicije trenutno)
- Elon mora prepričati investitorje, naj mu dajo še več denarja

Tesla ima dve opciji za preživetje:
- dosega tarč proizvodnje Model Y in hkrati znižanje stroškov (veliko naj bi šlo za investicije trenutno)
- Elon mora prepričati investitorje, naj mu dajo še več denarja

Tesla ima dve opciji za preživetje:
- dosega tarč proizvodnje NN čipa in hkrati znižanje stroškov (veliko naj bi šlo za investicije trenutno)
- Elon mora prepričati investitorje, naj mu dajo še več denarja

WarpedGone je 29. mar 2018 ob 08:45 izjavil:

On Topic:
The 2018 Automotive Excellence Awards
Zmagal je Tesla Model 3

@Bebotech: Moje sožalje

A lahko razlozis, kaj si zelel povedati? :)

Moje sožalje, da (če) se boš čez leto ali dve vozil okoli v avtu, ki je manj varen od Kie :P

WarpedGone je 29. mar 2018 ob 10:23 izjavil:

Nad čemurkoli pozitivnem pa zamahne z roko "to ni nič", "je irrelevantno", "drugi so boljši", "kaj si želel povedat"?

Nauciti se moras komunicirati in se bo s tabo dalo pogovarjati, trenutno pa se ne da, ker se obnasas kot razvajen in cmerav petosolec.

Ja in? Ena ameriska revija je Model 3 proglasila za najboljsi avto. Evropski avto leta je pa Volvo XC40, slovenski VW Polo, indijski pa Hyundai Verna. Car and Driver, neka druga ameriska revija, pa Tesle sploh ni imela na seznamu. Motor Trend, se ena ameriska revija o avtomobilih, pa je za najboljsi avto razglasila neko Alfo.

A lahko razlozis, kaj si zelel povedati? :)

s1m0n je 30. mar 2018 ob 13:14 izjavil:

Aha dobro nisem opazil, se lahko izbriše!

Drugače pa kako gre Model 3? Koliko jih je bilo dostavljenih v US? (torej koliko strank ga je dobilo)

K0l1br1 je 30. mar 2018 ob 14:19 izjavil:

Jaz bi teslo 3 imel, zgleda lepo, folk jo kar pohvali v youtubetih. Tisto tablico bi tudi prebavil. Drugo pa me ne moti. Autopilota ne bi imel. Predrag. Na ta način jih bodo nemci/švedi z dizli prehiteli po levi in po desni z manjšimi nadgradnjami obstoječih asistenc.

koyotee je 30. mar 2018 ob 17:39 izjavil:

[Armatura ti zgleda lepa?

As of January 2018 Tesla still has $3.4 billion in cash. 50% of that capital is expected to be spent on expanding the GF, while much of the other 50% will be spent on rolling out Supercharger networks, new service/ sales centers, Semi truck/ Model Y R&D, Tile roof/ solar, etc. If Tesla spends every dime they have without raising further capital, then the $3.4 Billion they started with this year will take them into 3rd Q 2018, right about the time where M3 ramp hits a steady rate of 5,000/ week to make them cash flow positive. So no, Tesla isn't going to run out of cash anytime soon. Their cash position remains to be healthy, and my assumption is that they will raise capital between 2nd and 3rd Q to be comfortable (so they won't be cutting it too close).

Elon has had around 40 rounds of capital raises between his venture at X.com/ PayPal, SpaceX and Tesla. He is 40 out of 40 for those capital raises which converts to an impressive 100% success rate in capital raises. He has mentioned to shorts before that you don't want to bet against those odds, and yet the shorts ignore his warning every time (to their detriment). They are here again to spread FUD because they understand that their fortunes are ONE capital raise away from being decimated (talk about playing Russian Roulette), arguably that ONE capital raise isn't even necessary for Tesla to sustain operations.

If Tesla would just stop expanding, then their cash position will be in a much healthier place; however, Tesla is a beast and Elon understands he has leverage over the capital market. He can raise capital at will and has determined that he wants his company to grow in ludicrous mode. Which is why so many members here are citing the 50% YOY revenue in the billions. Right now no other company grows like this, it's indeed profoundly breathtaking. Take for example the 500,000 reservation holders that deposited for the M3, at an ASP of $42,000 would mean $21 billion in revenues.

That $3.4 billion in cash provides a very nice cushion when you don't expand. And again, if Tesla stops expanding, then they would already have been profitable, so in the end, it's a catch 22 for shorts. It's checkmate both ways regardless whether Tesla expands or not. The M3 line at 2,500/ week without further expansion would be enough to keep profits rolling in. The 5,000/ week number enables them to expand at 50% YOY. Make no mistake about it.

I think you're missing my point. The cash burn is high but you're are discounting the revenue and the multiple levers Tesla has to control their spending in an event that would call for fiscal conservativeness. Deepak was able to bring in certain revenues that aren't repeatable during 4th Q 2017, but he has also mentioned that with the increase in M3 ramp, it will also be a good source of revenue for Tesla. So in the end, it becomes a balancing act that the CFO is very capable of doing. But do they need to be ultra conservative? No, bc the capital market will give them what they need. Production from M3 is worth $21 billion in revenues. I don't see banks turning them down should Tesla decides to tap into it. So far, they have proven to be able to ramp, albeit not as vertical as predicted.

Got my VIN today. Just about a week after configuration. 152xx.

They are already building them and selling them. The Model 3 just outsold the Audi A4 in the United States last month. It is the best selling EV in the United States by a substantial margin.

Some people are so dogmatically fixated on the target numbers that the Model 3 hasn't achieved yet, that they have become absolutely BLIND to the massive sales achievements that the Model 3 HAS ALREADY achieved.

FACTS:

After just barely getting past half a year of production, the Model 3 has gone from near the bottom of the US EV sales list to firmly on top. That is quite an achievement. In fact, most EV companies have failed to get any car on the top of the list in all the years insideev's has tracked sales, much less after only 6 months of production: ttps://insideevs.com/monthly-plug-in-sales-scorecard

The Model 3 has beat Audi A4 sales much faster than the Model S took to beat Audi A8 sales. This despite only one single variant is available for sale at a single price point, versus a variety of trim levels and price points available for the Audi A4.

Sorry haters, it's already happening. You are suffering huge denial.