Konflikt v Siriji

konspirator je 29. dec 2017 ob 20:44 izjavil:

Ja, nekaj Mossad/KSA/ZDA kuha(jo) v Iranu.

Vežde ja. Vojne stanejo. To se potem prenese na prebivalstvo.

"Predictably they are blaming anti-revolutionary elements and foreign agents. But the protests clearly stem from seething discontent in Iran, mainly because of the worsening economic conditions faced by ordinary Iranians.

A BBC Persian investigation has found that Iranians, on average, have become 15% poorer in the past ten years alone.

Many believe that money that should be used to improve their lives is being spent by Iran's leaders on conflicts in Syria, Yemen and Iraq. Billions are also being spent on spreading religious propaganda and Shia Islam around the world."

Kako predvidljivo. Na vsak način hočejo doseči, da se bi v Iran vtaknili združeni narodi. Sami si američani več ne upajo srati po bližnjem vzhodu, še posebej ne v Iranu.
Upam, da uredijo te zadeve na kulturen način in da lepo pozaprejo agitatorje in tuje vohune.

pozor, zgoraj je koncentriran idiotizem

Nič ne rečem, možno da kdo priliva olje na ogenj, ampak lepo bi bilo, da imate z obtožbami kaj pokazati. Tako pa samo nabijate na slepo ter Irancem odvzemate vso agencijo.

Pac-Man je 30. dec 2017 ob 02:26 izjavil:

pozor, zgoraj je koncentriran idiotizem

Nič ne rečem, možno da kdo priliva olje na ogenj, ampak lepo bi bilo, da imate z obtožbami kaj pokazati. Tako pa samo nabijate na slepo ter Irancem odvzemate vso agencijo.

he he, nič ne rečeš, no lepo vsaj malo napredka, v kratkem lahko pričakujemo vladne sniperje, ki streljajo na lastno prebivalstvo; vse se je začelo, ko so zaprli nekaj otrok, ki so pisali grafite po stenah,.... kajne....

https://twitter.com/MikeTokes/status/94...

V zgornjih sporočilih se lahko najde Mossad/KSA/ZDA, ameriške fake twixi accounte in Sorosa, kot odgovorne za proteste v Iranu. Brez enega pametnega argumenta ali dokaza, zakaj.

In nato mi očitaš "sledenje nekim standardnim vzorcem obnašanja".

Ha ha ha, lepo so vas sprogramirali.

7tom1ja je 30. dec 2017 ob 08:28 izjavil:

he he, nič ne rečeš, no lepo vsaj malo napredka, v kratkem lahko pričakujemo vladne sniperje, ki streljajo na lastno prebivalstvo; vse se je začelo, ko so zaprli nekaj otrok, ki so pisali grafite po stenah,.... kajne....

https://twitter.com/MikeTokes/status/94...

Enak idiot kot ti. Iranskim državljanom odvzema vso agencijo in motivacijo za izboljšanje lastnega stanja.

Zagotovo so CIA/NATO/Soros agenti, drugega ne more bit. Normalni Perzijci se vsekakor nismo zmožni potegnit zase, taka rasa beta cuckholdov.

Pac-Man je 30. dec 2017 ob 09:04 izjavil:

V zgornjih sporočilih se lahko najde Mossad/KSA/ZDA, ameriške fake twixi accounte in Sorosa, kot odgovorne za proteste v Iranu. Brez enega pametnega argumenta ali dokaza, zakaj.

In nato mi očitaš "sledenje nekim standardnim vzorcem obnašanja".

Ha ha ha, lepo so vas sprogramirali.

7tom1ja je 30. dec 2017 ob 08:28 izjavil:

he he, nič ne rečeš, no lepo vsaj malo napredka, v kratkem lahko pričakujemo vladne sniperje, ki streljajo na lastno prebivalstvo; vse se je začelo, ko so zaprli nekaj otrok, ki so pisali grafite po stenah,.... kajne....

https://twitter.com/MikeTokes/status/94...

Enak idiot kot ti. Iranskim državljanom odvzema vso agencijo in motivacijo za izboljšanje lastnega stanja.

Zagotovo so CIA/NATO/Soros agenti, drugega ne more bit. Normalni Perzijci se vsekakor nismo zmožni potegnit zase, taka rasa beta cuckholdov.

edino "sledenje nekim standardnim vzorcem obnašanja" bo; Iranska vlada strelja na lastne ljudi, US mora "pomagati"

Samuel je 30. dec 2017 ob 10:51 izjavil:

Demonstracije proti vladam se dogajajo tudi v zahodni Evropi, pa nobenemu ne pade na pamet, da so delo CIE in ne vem koga še. Zakaj se demonstracije ne bi dogajale v bistveno bolj zaostalih državah?? Folk je bistveno bolj informiran kot desetletja nazaj in hoče več svobode, pravic etc.

Samo potem je to v nasprotju s prikazano zahodno sliko. Sicer lahko par irancev v sluzbi povprasam pa ena perzika je tudi. Vsi so sicer bolj ali manj nekosmati.
Drugace pa slika natalitete kaze naprednost naroda. Je nekako brez tezav na nivoju zahoda.
In da tudi v vzhodnih drzavah se dogajajo protesti, pac politiki se za mali dnar prostituirajo.

Tarzan je 30. dec 2017 ob 10:37 izjavil:

Preden so šli američani skupaj z britanci tja delat štalo, so bili precej sekularni in še za zdajšnje zahodne standarde napredni. Ko so jih pahnili v islamsko revolucijo so postali malo manj, še vedno pa svetlobna leta pred raznimi talibani, ISIS, KSA, in podobnimi tiči. Iran na zahodu poznamo izključno na podlagi zahodne propagande v medijih, kdor gre tja, se lahko na lastne oči prepriča, da si to državo predstavljamo popolnoma napačno.

spet te bucke, lol. americani so podpirali diktatorskega saha, ki je bil precej sekularen. v bistvu je v navzkriz s siiti, ki so kasneje zakurili revolucijo, prisel na racun svoje sekularnosti.
po padcu saha se je zacela islamska revolucija.

tako da ce ze moras za nekaj obtozevati dezurne wrongdoerje na svetu, jih obtozi za podpiranje diktatorja (ker takrat je seveda povsod drugod bila demokracija, sploh v tisti regiji), ne pa za islamizem, ki se je, tako kot ob zadnji arabski pomladi, pojavil kot odgovor.

7982884e je 30. dec 2017 ob 10:30 izjavil:

hehe, proruski troli ne morejo prenesti nobenega protesta v drzavah clanicah osi-dobrih. ceprav je za iran ze iz aviona jasno, da trenutna islamisticna vladavina in 80-letni bradati starcki v turbanih niso kompatibilni z vecinsko mladim in precej liberalnim/sekularnim prebivalstvom.

vse manj zensk nosi hidzabe, a to je tudi delo CIE? so ciini agenti sli mal po iranu in talali 10 dolarjev za vsak odstranjen hidzab?

se pravi logika pro amero trola je, da se Iran modernizira sam od sebe; shocking

7982884e je 30. dec 2017 ob 11:13 izjavil:

Tarzan je 30. dec 2017 ob 10:37 izjavil:

Preden so šli američani skupaj z britanci tja delat štalo, so bili precej sekularni in še za zdajšnje zahodne standarde napredni. Ko so jih pahnili v islamsko revolucijo so postali malo manj, še vedno pa svetlobna leta pred raznimi talibani, ISIS, KSA, in podobnimi tiči. Iran na zahodu poznamo izključno na podlagi zahodne propagande v medijih, kdor gre tja, se lahko na lastne oči prepriča, da si to državo predstavljamo popolnoma napačno.

spet te bucke, lol. americani so podpirali diktatorskega saha, ki je bil precej sekularen. v bistvu je v navzkriz s siiti, ki so kasneje zakurili revolucijo, prisel na racun svoje sekularnosti.
po padcu saha se je zacela islamska revolucija.

tako da ce ze moras za nekaj obtozevati dezurne wrongdoerje na svetu, jih obtozi za podpiranje diktatorja (ker takrat je seveda povsod drugod bila demokracija, sploh v tisti regiji), ne pa za islamizem, ki se je, tako kot ob zadnji arabski pomladi, pojavil kot odgovor.

Za amer trole se zgodovina Irana vedno začne leta 79; ja Iran je bil moderna demokracija pred prihodom tvojih

7982884e je 30. dec 2017 ob 11:36 izjavil:

hahaha, ja, res, sokantno, kdo bi verjel, drzava kjer vecina mladih ni islamisticnih, kjer mlade zenske izven javnosti redko nosijo rute, se MODERNIZIRA, breaking news!

v tistih državah, ki jih podpirajo tvoji ni tako, aka SA

leiito je 30. dec 2017 ob 11:40 izjavil:

To ni res, da so ZDA brezpogojno podpirale Šaha, po mnenju mnogih, tudi Pahlavija samega, so ga zrušili, če vorašaš Irance same so pa itak za vsakim velikim dogodkom v Iranu Angleži oz Američani.

lol
seveda, americani bodo zrusili saha, potem mu pa nudili azil, skupaj z ogromnim premozenjem, in ga nikakor ne pustili nazaj v iran, kjer ga je nova oblast hotela za sojenje in kjer so imeli potem americani se dramo z ambasado, ker saha niso hoteli dat nazaj
glavni temelj sovraznosti iranske islamisticne oblasti je ravno ameriska podpora sahu in njihova neizrocitev saha po revoluciji

se pa ne cudim, da ljudje govorijo da so tudi za to americani krivi, saj za kaj pa danes niso v oceh borcev proti zahodu in za pravicnost?

Iz Engdahlove knjige A Century of War:

"In November 1978, President Carter named the Bilderberg group's George Ball, another member of the Trilateral Commission, to head a special White House Iran task force under the National Security Council's Brzezinski. Ball recommended that Washington drop support for the Shah of Iran and support the fundamentalistic Islamic opposition of Ayatollah Khomeini. Robert Bowie from the CIA was one of the lead 'case officers' in the new CIA-led coup against the man their covert actions had placed into power 25 years earlier.

Their scheme was based on a detailed study of the phenomenon of Islamic fundamentalism, as presented by British Islamic expert, Dr. Bernard Lewis, then on assignment at Princeton University in the United States. Lewis's scheme, which was unveiled at the May 1979 Bilderberg meeting in Austria, endorsed the radical Muslim Brotherhood movement behind Khomeini, in order to promote balkanization of the entire Muslim Near East along tribal and religious lines. Lewis argued that the West should encourage autonomous groups such as the Kurds, Armenians, Lebanese Maronites, Ethiopian Copts, Azerbaijani Turks, and so forth. The chaos would spread in what he termed an 'Arc of Crisis,' which would spill over into Muslim regions of the Soviet Union.

Engdahl samo na slepo nabija, dokazov pa nobenih. ZDA seveda stojijo za vsem. Poleg tega zagovarja še par drugih zanimivih pozicij.

Vsakega pismenega norca res ni treba jemati resno.

F. William Engdahl @ Wikipedia

He has also been a long-time associate of the LaRouche movement and has written many articles for their publications.

...

His first book was called A Century of War: Anglo-American Oil Politics and the New World Order and discusses the alleged roles of Zbigniew Brzezinski and George Ball and of the USA in the 1979 overthrow of the Shah of Iran, which was meant to manipulate oil prices and to stop Soviet expansion. (...) In 2007, he completed Seeds of Destruction: The Hidden Agenda of Genetic Manipulation.

Engdahl is also a contributor to the website of the anti-globalization Centre for Research on Globalization, the Russian website New Eastern Outlook,[2] and the Voltaire Network

//NEO izdaja inštitut orientalnih študij jebene ruske akademije znanosti. Čista propaganda.
http://russia-insider.com/en/new_easter...
https://journal-neo.org/

...

Engdahl stated in 2007 that he had come to believe that petroleum is not biological in origin, which is the theory supported by the majority of petroleum geologists and engineers.[4] Instead he now believes the hypothesis that petroleum is geological in origin, produced from carbon, by forces of heat and pressure deep underground.

...

He claims that global warming is merely a "scare" and a "thinly veiled attempt to misuse climate to argue for a new Malthusian reduction of living standards for the majority of the world while a tiny elite gains more power.".

...

On Russia Today, Engdahl stated in an interview that the 2011 Egyptian Revolution was orchestrated by the Pentagon to facilitate Barack Obama's Middle East foreign policy and that Egypt had turned to a worse situation since Hosni Mubarak was overthrown.[7] According to him, "The ultimate goal of the US is to take the resources of Africa and Middle East under military control to block economic growth in China and Russia, thus taking the whole of Eurasia under control."

Carter je dobričina in idealist, Pahlavi je bil malo manj sadistična verzija Assada. Ni nemogoče, da so ZDA kritizirale kršenje človekovih pravic pod njem.

Ampak od tu do islamofašističnega državnega udara je dooooooolga pot. In zakaj bi "death to amerikka" islamisti sploh upoštevali njihovo mnenje?

Ste pa dobri - še ko se Anglosaksoncem podrejo desetletja dolge spletke, za tem stojijo - Anglosaksonci :D

Malo branja:
https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/mad...

http://iranprimer.usip.org/resource/car...

https://www.realclearpolitics.com/lists...

Sicer je tema o Siriji a če povzamemo:
- ZDA in UK zrušita legalno in demokratično izbrano sekularno iransko vlado premierja Mosadeka, ker jim ta nacionalizira (odvzame) iranske naftne vrtine;
- nastavijo zahodu prijaznega in razsipnega ter diktatorskega šaha Pahlavija, katerega ljudstvo ne mara preveč;
- Pahlavija odnese revolucija, v kateri je najmočnejša islamistična opozicija, katere vodja deluje iz ene od zahodnih držav..islamisti po revoluciji uničijo sekularen (socialističen) del revolucionarjev;
- Iran, v trenutku slabosti (takoj po revoluciji), napade sosednji Irak, katerega podprejo vse sunitske sosede in zahod.

In zaključek je, da ZDA in UK nista storili nič napačnega ter da se danes borita proti zlobnim nedemokratičnim iranskim islamistom...seveda Savdove Arabije in njenih zlobnih nedemokratičnih islamistov nihče ne omenja. Unbiased, ni kaj

Iran je drugačen, še zdaleč pa ni demokratičen. Ima mlado in nezadovoljno prebivalstvo, ker se bogastvo deli med elito in troši na vojne v tujini, večina ljudi pa živi vse slabše. Jasno je, da iranske oblasti nekaj delajo narobe in vprašanje je, če jim bo obsežen represivni aparat lahko pomagal v primeru upora velikih razsežnosti.

Še jordanske spletke

https://twitter.com/AlSuraEnglish/statu...

#BREAKING - King of #Jordan dismisses his 3 brothers; Faisal, Ali and Talal from Jordanian army command after evidence of them contacting #Saudi leaders Mohammad bin Salman and Mohammad bin Zayed to formulate a coup against him. All 3 brothers are now under house arrest.

leiito je 30. dec 2017 ob 18:19 izjavil:

Zakaj so potem podpirali Homenija in orkestrirali njegov povratek v Iran, če ga niso želeli kot št. 1?

Niso podpirali in niso orgestrirali. Kontaktiral jih je Khomeini in obljubljal sodelovanje.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/...

Two former White House advisers to Jimmy Carter, speaking to the Guardian, did not question the authenticity of the documents but denied that the US had abandoned the shah.

In contrast to his later tirades against the “Great Satan”, Khomeini’s messages to US officials just weeks before his return to Tehran appear to have been strikingly conciliatory.

“It is advisable that you recommend to the army not to follow [Shah’s prime minister Shapour] Bakhtiar,” Khomeini said in one message, according to the BBC. “You will see we are not in any particular animosity with the Americans.”

In another message sent via a US emissary written in the same month, he attempted to assuage American fears that their economic interests would be affected by a change of power in Iran: “There should be no fear about oil. It is not true that we wouldn’t sell to the US.”

...

BBC Persian has not explained its decision not to publish those documents, which has not helped the scepticism among Iranian critics, but the reporter who broke the story, Kambiz Fattahi, answered questions by email.

“The documents clearly show that Khomeini was less heroic, and far craftier, behind the scenes,” Fattahi said. “He quietly courted the US government, making all kinds of promises about the future of core US interests in Iran.”

“The documents are significant because they show Khomeini’s legacy is complicated, as it involves the ayatollah courting two US presidents behind the scenes. They illustrate a pattern of behaviour – that Khomeini at critical moments during his long struggle for an Islamic republic, secretly engaged what he would call ‘the Great Satan’.”

Gary Sick, a member of the National Security Council staff during the period of the Iranian revolution, said “the documents are genuine” but to the best of his knowledge he never saw the CIA study about the 1963 contact, and had no knowledge of the alleged communication.

“As far as I can tell, assuming the report is accurate, the message from Khomeini to the US government had no effect on actual policy – either in the Kennedy administration or later. So I regard this as an anomaly,” he told the Guardian.

Sick said the US wanted to preserve the Iranian military as an institution and ensure that the transition would be orderly and not collapse into bloodshed and civil war, but said the talks with an American emissary in 1979 had little significance.

...

Stuart Eizenstat, a former chief White House domestic policy adviser to Carter, said talks of the US abandoning the shah was “not historically accurate”. He said: “We did everything we could to keep the shah in power. There was no notion that we were trying to facilitate the Ayatollah coming into power.”

He also commented: “Ebrahim Yadzi, the first foreign minister under Khomeini, was making regular public statements on behalf of Ayatollah Khomeini saying this will be a tolerant democracy, nothing about an Islamic revolution. I believe that Yadzi believed that.”

Pac-Man je 30. dec 2017 ob 18:30 izjavil:

leiito je 30. dec 2017 ob 18:19 izjavil:

Zakaj so potem podpirali Homenija in orkestrirali njegov povratek v Iran, če ga niso želeli kot št. 1?

Niso podpirali in niso orgestrirali. Kontaktiral jih je Khomeini in obljubljal sodelovanje.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2016/...

Two former White House advisers to Jimmy Carter, speaking to the Guardian, did not question the authenticity of the documents but denied that the US had abandoned the shah.

In contrast to his later tirades against the “Great Satan”, Khomeini’s messages to US officials just weeks before his return to Tehran appear to have been strikingly conciliatory.

“It is advisable that you recommend to the army not to follow [Shah’s prime minister Shapour] Bakhtiar,” Khomeini said in one message, according to the BBC. “You will see we are not in any particular animosity with the Americans.”

In another message sent via a US emissary written in the same month, he attempted to assuage American fears that their economic interests would be affected by a change of power in Iran: “There should be no fear about oil. It is not true that we wouldn’t sell to the US.”

...

BBC Persian has not explained its decision not to publish those documents, which has not helped the scepticism among Iranian critics, but the reporter who broke the story, Kambiz Fattahi, answered questions by email.

“The documents clearly show that Khomeini was less heroic, and far craftier, behind the scenes,” Fattahi said. “He quietly courted the US government, making all kinds of promises about the future of core US interests in Iran.”

“The documents are significant because they show Khomeini’s legacy is complicated, as it involves the ayatollah courting two US presidents behind the scenes. They illustrate a pattern of behaviour – that Khomeini at critical moments during his long struggle for an Islamic republic, secretly engaged what he would call ‘the Great Satan’.”

Gary Sick, a member of the National Security Council staff during the period of the Iranian revolution, said “the documents are genuine” but to the best of his knowledge he never saw the CIA study about the 1963 contact, and had no knowledge of the alleged communication.

“As far as I can tell, assuming the report is accurate, the message from Khomeini to the US government had no effect on actual policy – either in the Kennedy administration or later. So I regard this as an anomaly,” he told the Guardian.

Sick said the US wanted to preserve the Iranian military as an institution and ensure that the transition would be orderly and not collapse into bloodshed and civil war, but said the talks with an American emissary in 1979 had little significance.

...

Stuart Eizenstat, a former chief White House domestic policy adviser to Carter, said talks of the US abandoning the shah was “not historically accurate”. He said: “We did everything we could to keep the shah in power. There was no notion that we were trying to facilitate the Ayatollah coming into power.”

He also commented: “Ebrahim Yadzi, the first foreign minister under Khomeini, was making regular public statements on behalf of Ayatollah Khomeini saying this will be a tolerant democracy, nothing about an Islamic revolution. I believe that Yadzi believed that.”

Seveda so ga podpirali, s tem, da so ustavili vojsko so mu omogočili prevzem oblasti, s tem, da so mu dali info, da vojska ne bo reagirala, so mu odpravili še zadnje možne zadržke. Morda jih je tu res on kontaktiral prvi, zelo convenient je, ampak v vsakem primeru to niso bili edini kontakti Američanov v Iranu, vsaj še v vojski so imeli vpliv. Carter pa itak ni bil nujno looped in, kasneje pri zgodbi s talci je teorija, da je CIA naredila deal z Iranci z Reaganom, ko je bil Carter še predsednik in zavlačevala izpustitev do po volitvah, da uspeh ne bi pomagal Carterju.

V vsakem primeru bi bilo za velesile, v državi takega strateškega pomena in s tako zgodovino vpliva na politično dogajanje, nepričakovano in tudi neodgovorno, če ne bi naredili vse, da zaščitijo svoje interese in da jih pri tem zgodovinsko kongres in zakoni ne omejujejo nujno. Vsaka velesila bi ravnala tako, tega jim ne gre ne vem kako očitat.

Lavrov je končno vse priznal:


Rusi poskušajo zdaj to spinat kot da je šlo za prank.

Okej.

Kdo je organiziral proteste na G20? Ruply zgleda navdušen.

https://twitter.com/AmirToumaj/status/9...

Continuing protests across Iran with slogans such as "mullahs, have some shame, let go of the country" reflect deep anger at clerical rule, corruption, economic mismanagement, etc. years in making. Left unaddressed, the irreconcilable conflicts will lead to revolution.

Predictably, the IRGC releases public statement warning against "the enemy's plans for new sedition" and calling for rallies tomorrow on 9th Dey anniversary.

Also predictably, pro-IRGC social media forums going along with message from IRGC. This one says "we should remember that thousands of martyrs were spent for you and me, let's not #betray in their safety!" Somehow demanding change means insulting the martyrs.

In the past 48 hours, the tens of videos of protests recorded didn't show crowds yelling pro-Islamist or pro-MEK slogans. All loudly demanding freedom and justice.

A quick point about rumors that the protests were instigated by the IRGC and hardliners and spun out of control:
1) there's no solid evidence
2) they didn't use their usual formula of mobilizing supporters. They use that formula for a reason: so they can control crowd and avoid a situation precisely like this that spins out of control. The IRGC has been obsessed about mass protests: its top priorities have been uprisings in Iran and Syria in the past 7 years. Besides, the question is irrelevant: there are many desperate people who've had enough

The Iranian government is scrambling to respond. An MP says that the administration held a meeting in parliament to lower the cost of fuel than the one proposed in next year's budget.

IRGC deputy commander Hossein Salami gave an address today, tried to overplay 9th Dey pro-gov rallies, touted that "our influence has expanded toward E Mediterranean," and warned that "the enemy is trying to open path from inside," though he'd have said that anyways.

The Islamic Republic’s protocol is to deploy the IRGC and Basij paramilitary should law enforcement be unable to handle protests. That likelihood will increase as protests continue.

Photo purportedly showing protestors seizing and burning judiciary office in Kerman.

Protestors torching governor’s office in Khorramabad, Lorestan province.
https://twitter.com/AmirToumaj/status/9...

Tale posnetek z režimskih demonstracij je zanimiv.



Aktivni so starejši, kar je pod 40 pa se večinoma zdolgočaseno sprehaja in živčno pogleduje proti kameram.

Brez organizacije, hierarhije, strategije in taktike ne gre, ampak to vejo tudi sami. Hvala bogu je internet, grejo na google in najdejo Gene Sharp: From Dictatorship To Democracy, how to overthrow despotic regimes for dummies. Sharpove principe je uporabljal Otpor v Srbiji 2003, Srdja Popović pa kasneje s Canvasom postal zasebni svetovalec revolucionarjem in sodeloval v praktično vseh zgodbah, od Gruzije in Ukrajine do arabske pomladi, Guardian pravi, da v 50 državah. Res zanimivi časi, da je ne samo vojna, ampak tudi revolucija postala običajna tržna dejavnost in, kot običajno, je zasebna pobuda veliko bolj učinkovita od centralnoplanske. In kar je še bolje, nenasilni odpor je zgodovinsko 2x bolj uspešen od nasilja in ima 10x večjo verjetnost, da se konča z nečem vsaj približno demokratičnim.

https://www.theguardian.com/world/2015/...

http://canvasopedia.org/must-read/

Strategija Otpora:
Take an offensive approach
Understand the concept of "power in numbers"
Develop a superior communication strategy
Create the perception of a successful movement
Invest in the skills and knowledge of activists
Cultivate external support
Induce security force defections
Resist oppression
By means of decentralized leadership, education, using humor to maintain morale, and supporting members who had been arrested
Use elections to trigger change
Enable peaceful transition of power

Bull, redni leti iz Teherana.

https://twitter.com/dmidvar/status/9473...



https://twitter.com/AzadehMoaveni/statu...

Timely 'whither Iran' thread from a seasoned journalist who's just been there, and is well-versed in both falling apart countries and just convulsing countries.

https://twitter.com/tamhussein/status/9...

Having just returned from Iran, and by no means an expert, the impression I got was that yes, there was dissatisfaction with aspects of the government but I just don't think there is enough will or the critical mass to over throw the powers that be in Iran.

There seems a dissonance between the young and old. Young Iranians (a very talented bunch) find their ambitions hampered by their isolation from the outside world. The conservative elements in society seemed to me to be strong amongst young and old too. Those who wanted change were Pro-Khatami.

Many might regret direction that Iranian revolution has taken but on the whole many of traditional elements seems to feel that this 'basics' have been fulfilled. I could be wrong but I didn't get the impression that these protests will overthrow the Iranian government.

Iran has actually managed to build institutions that work reasonably well. And this is probably why it will take these protests as pause for thought than a major threat. There are still religious young people and the country side is not protesting. Don't want to defend any state but in fairness, whilst there are certainly restrictions in Teheran there is to an extent room for culture, music, film, writing etc. As long as not obscene. Other observations the cult of martyrdom very much alive. The people are very insulated from the outside world in terms of news. For instance- the mosque in Aleppo was destroyed by ISIS etc.

Finally Iran didn't feel like Syria, in its oppressive police state. It's people like Syrians, were some of the best people I have met. With a beautiful heritage and country. The country is often mischaracterised. Many of the stereotypes have certainly been shattered. Should also add that whilst minorities are not treated with the same dignity as in the West, in comparison to KSA (excluding Baha'is) there has been some sort of understanding that has been achieved with Jews, Zoroastrians, Armenians etc though apostasy laws still remain.