Bitcoin znova na zgodovinskem vrhu

technolog je 3. apr 2013 ob 14:19 izjavil:

Če je bitcoin zero-sum, je posledično piramidna shema.

lexios je 4. apr 2013 ob 00:59 izjavil:

Potencial tole kot kriptovaluta prihodnosti definitivno ima, ne vem pa kje ste prišli na idejo o potencialnih vrednostih 1BTC = 1000$ oz. 10.000$...?

Potencial, ki ga ima predvsem v primeru, da ga večina trgovcev sprejme kot plačilno sredstvo, za kar za začetek imo potrebuješ stabilno valuto.

Valutna nihanja niso težava

If millions of people started using bitcoins on a regular basis, the soaring value of bitcoins would actually be disastrous. You've heard of hyperinflation: this would be hyperdeflation. Take a gold bar valued at $600,000. At $60 per bitcoin, the value of that bar is 10,000 BTC. But then assume that bitcoins rise in value to $600 apiece, and then to $6,000, and then to $60,000 -- as would have to happen if the fixed number of bitcoins was being used to store hundreds of billions of dollars in value. Then the value of the gold bar would plunge, in bitcoin terms -- to 1,000 BTC and then 100 BTC and finally just 10 BTC. The same thing would happen to all other goods and services in the world, including your own salary. Everything would be constantly going down in price, if you thought in bitcoin terms.

Inflation is bad, but deflation is worse. The reason is that in a deflationary environment, no one spends money -- because whatever you want to buy is sure to become cheaper in a few days or weeks. People hoard their cash, and spend it only begrudgingly, on absolute necessities. And they certainly don't spend it on hiring people -- no matter how productive their employees might be, they'd still be better off just holding on to that money and not paying anybody anything.

The result is an economy which would simply grind to a halt, with massive unemployment and almost no economic activity. In a word, it would be a Depression. In order to have economic growth, you need monetary growth as well -- and that's something which is impossible to achieve in a bitcoin-based system. Currencies such as the dollar, with a central bank which can print money at will, have succeeded for a reason. As economies grow, the money supply has to be able to grow with them. And that's why bitcoin can never really succeed over the long term.

Inflation is bad, but deflation is worse. The reason is that in a deflationary environment, no one spends money -- because whatever you want to buy is sure to become cheaper in a few days or weeks.

lexios je 5. apr 2013 ob 01:46 izjavil:

Hja, sama po sebi je zgornja dilema tudi vredna pomisleka. Sam koga boš pa pretepu? Na random?

Transakcija je nepovratna, neizsledljiva in kot taka tudi potencialna tarča zlorab po plačilu - "jst tebi plačam, ti ne dostaviš"! Ampak ok, je to pač riziko že v sedanjem principu spletnega trgovanja (WU, PP), le da je tokrat situacija imho obrnjena in mora kupec zaupati prodajalcu - mogoče bi se zadevo dalo popravit in implementirat nekakšen feedback?

Vprašanje, če se bo prijelo, upam pa, da se bo! Like the idea!