Predsednik ZDA Donald Trump - 2. mandat

strawman je včeraj ob 13:32:23 izjavil:

kow je včeraj ob 12:47:33 izjavil:

Umberto Eco je pac sestavil seznam. Ni slab. Sicer Trumpova administracija kar nekam tockaj na seznamu ne ustreza. Verjetno gre pri Ecu bolj za post 20. stoletje evropski fasizem.

Se mi zdi da se kultura v zadnjih 100 letih niti ni toliko spremenila, da njegova definicija nebi ustrezala dejanski.
Iz firbca, v katerih točkah pa misliš da se ne sklada najbolj? Verjetno "Sovražniki so hkrati močni in šibki", ter "Vsakdo je vzgajan za junaka"?

kow je včeraj ob 15:04:58 izjavil:

Woke obdobje je sedaj porazeno. Bilo je nasilno, lahko bi rekli fasisticno (da malo podrazim) gibanje, ki je vsiljevalo socialni inzeniring. Revolucija, ki je zrla lastne otroke.
Ironija je, da je uporabilo korporativizem proti tradicionalnim odnosom. Na nek nacin - genialno.

Dr Nisha Verma, who provides reproductive healthcare in Georgia and Massachusetts, was called to testify by Democratic members of the committee

DeeJay je včeraj ob 23:53:25 izjavil:

kdor si še zatiska oči, naj mu bo jasno, da kmalu kongres in senat ne bosta imel več pomena. Trobentica bo postal novi vodja bez ograničenja mandata, vsi nasprotniki temu bodo pa domači teroristi in tudi primerno odstranjeni.

To "hit" the USA financially, the EU has several levers. While liquidating bonds is the most volatile option, it is a "Mutual Assured Destruction" (MAD) strategy. More precise and sustainable financial damage can be inflicted through regulatory warfare and trade barriers.

1. The Bond Lever: "The Financial Nuclear Option"
The EU (member states and the ECB) collectively holds approximately $1.62 trillion in US Treasury bonds. Including the UK (often aligned in financial policy), this figure rises to $2.34 trillion.
- How it works: A coordinated, rapid sell-off of these holdings would flood the market, causing US bond prices to crash and yields (interest rates) to spike.
- Impact on the USA: * Debt Servicing: The US government’s cost to borrow would soar, potentially destabilizing the federal budget.
Consumer Impact: Mortgage rates, car loans, and business credit are tied to Treasury yields; a spike would likely trigger a sharp US recession.
Currency Devaluation: A mass exit from the Dollar would cause it to plummet against the Euro, making US imports expensive and fueling inflation.
- The Drawback (High Friction): This is a "double-edged sword." The EU would take massive "haircuts" (losses) on the value of the bonds they sell. Furthermore, a significantly stronger Euro would make European exports (cars, machinery) too expensive for global buyers, damaging the EU’s own industrial base.

2. Regulatory and Tax Warfare (Targeting Big Tech)
This is the EU’s most effective "low-cost" lever. Approximately 25% of the S&P 500’s earnings come from the tech sector, which is heavily reliant on the European market.
- Digital Services Taxes (DST): Implementing or raising taxes on the revenue (not profit) of US tech giants (Google, Amazon, Meta). Even a 3% to 5% tax across the bloc generates billions in revenue for the EU while directly stripping profit from the US economy.
- Fines and Compliance: Using the Digital Markets Act (DMA) and GDPR to issue multi-billion Euro fines. These are not just "tickets"; they force US companies to change their global business models or face exclusion from the 450-million-person EU market.

3. The "Trade Bazooka": Anti-Coercion Instrument (ACI)
The EU recently adopted the ACI, which allows it to retaliate against "economic blackmail" without waiting for WTO approval.
- Intellectual Property (IP) Stripping: The EU could suspend the IP rights of US companies. This would allow European firms to legally "copy" US software, pharmaceuticals, or technology without paying royalties—a massive financial blow to US R&D-heavy industries.
- Targeted Tariffs: Unlike broad tariffs, the EU targets "politically sensitive" US exports (e.g., Harley-Davidson from Wisconsin, Bourbon from Kentucky) to exert maximum domestic political pressure on US leadership.

4. Financial Infrastructure: Euroclear and Capital Markets
The EU hosts Euroclear (Belgium) and Clearstream (Luxembourg), which are the "plumbing" of global finance.
- Restricting Access: The EU could theoretically restrict US entities from using these clearinghouses for Euro-denominated transactions or impose "financial stability" surcharges on US-based funds operating within the EU.
- Capital Flight: Encouraging European pension funds and insurers to divest from US equities and move capital into EU-denominated "Green Bonds" or sovereign debt.

Summary
If the goal is to inflict the most damage, dumping US Treasuries is the answer, but it risks a global depression that would also consume Europe. The most logical and surgical hit is a combination of Digital Services Taxes and IP stripping, as these extract wealth directly from the US's most profitable sectors with lower risk to the EU's own financial stability.